Virginia Tech
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
5  Thomas Curtin SR 30:56
143  Stuart Robertson JR 32:00
223  Neil Gourley JR 32:21
297  Peter Seufer FR 32:32
323  Darren Barlow SR 32:36
379  Daniel Jaskowak SO 32:45
480  Patrick Joseph JR 32:57
496  Brent Musselman SO 32:58
629  Andrew Gaiser SO 33:13
702  Gaige Kern FR 33:21
797  Diego Zarate FR 33:29
809  Vincent Ciattei SO 33:30
942  Andrew Goldman FR 33:41
1,016  Juan Campos SR 33:49
1,108  Ashkan Mohammadi SO 33:56
1,336  Andrew Eason FR 34:17
National Rank #29 of 308
Southeast Region Rank #6 of 47
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 76.4%
Most Likely Finish 25th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 1.4%
Top 20 at Nationals 25.6%


Regional Champion 2.0%
Top 5 in Regional 53.9%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Thomas Curtin Stuart Robertson Neil Gourley Peter Seufer Darren Barlow Daniel Jaskowak Patrick Joseph Brent Musselman Andrew Gaiser Gaige Kern Diego Zarate
Mason Invitational 10/03
Princeton Inter Regional 10/03 837 32:06 32:24 32:31 32:42 32:56 33:26 33:03 33:03 33:09 33:05
Wake Forest Invitational 10/16
D1 Pre-Nationals (Black) 10/17 1087 32:36 33:01 33:07
D1 Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/17 466 31:04 31:44 31:44 32:25 32:06 32:22 33:52
ACC Championships 10/30 585 30:45 32:01 32:18 32:23 32:28 32:19 33:28 32:42 34:11
Southeast Region Championships 11/13 613 30:45 31:48 33:00 32:25 32:19 32:55 33:14
NCAA Championship 11/21 722 31:06 32:14 32:23 32:57 33:56 32:48 33:15





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 76.4% 22.2 525 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.3 1.5 1.5 2.6 3.0 2.5 3.3 3.8 3.9 5.0 5.0 5.9 5.9 6.7 5.6 5.7 4.8 3.3 1.9 0.8
Region Championship 100% 5.1 142 2.0 4.1 10.1 14.7 23.1 33.3 9.8 2.6 0.4 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Thomas Curtin 99.9% 7.6 0.2 3.4 12.2 10.4 9.0 6.9 5.1 4.2 4.0 3.6 2.8 2.6 2.4 2.6 1.8 1.6 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.3 0.6 1.1 0.9 0.8
Stuart Robertson 76.8% 111.1 0.0 0.0
Neil Gourley 76.4% 159.4
Peter Seufer 76.4% 182.5
Darren Barlow 76.4% 189.3
Daniel Jaskowak 76.4% 203.6
Patrick Joseph 76.4% 218.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Thomas Curtin 1.0 56.1 15.0 7.3 4.7 3.4 2.6 2.1 1.4 1.1 1.0 0.8 1.0 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1
Stuart Robertson 21.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.9 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.5 3.3 3.8 3.8 4.7 4.4 4.5 4.9 5.0 4.4 4.3 4.0 3.5 3.5
Neil Gourley 31.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.3 1.6 1.6 2.2 3.0 3.0 3.6 4.1
Peter Seufer 39.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.6
Darren Barlow 42.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.9
Daniel Jaskowak 50.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
Patrick Joseph 61.3




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 2.0% 100.0% 2.0 2.0 1
2 4.1% 100.0% 4.1 4.1 2
3 10.1% 97.8% 1.5 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.2 9.9 3
4 14.7% 93.9% 1.1 1.6 1.2 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.4 1.2 1.3 1.4 0.6 0.9 13.8 4
5 23.1% 86.0% 1.2 1.9 1.2 1.2 1.9 1.7 2.2 2.2 2.4 2.4 1.6 3.2 19.8 5
6 33.3% 68.3% 0.8 1.9 1.5 1.5 2.5 2.5 2.2 3.1 2.5 4.3 10.5 22.7 6
7 9.8% 41.3% 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.7 0.7 5.7 4.0 7
8 2.6% 1.5% 0.0 0.0 2.6 0.0 8
9 0.4% 0.4 9
10 0.0% 0.0 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
Total 100% 76.4% 2.0 4.1 1.5 2.2 3.6 4.5 4.9 4.5 5.5 6.4 7.2 7.0 8.0 7.6 7.3 23.6 6.1 70.3




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Florida State 91.5% 1.0 0.9
Louisville 88.3% 2.0 1.8
Colorado St. 53.4% 1.0 0.5
Air Force 40.3% 1.0 0.4
Texas 38.3% 1.0 0.4
Southern Utah 36.0% 1.0 0.4
Minnesota 25.4% 1.0 0.3
California 23.4% 1.0 0.2
Eastern Michigan 22.0% 1.0 0.2
Providence 14.1% 1.0 0.1
Florida 8.5% 1.0 0.1
Notre Dame 8.2% 1.0 0.1
Georgia 6.3% 1.0 0.1
Cornell 3.0% 1.0 0.0
Stephen F. Austin 3.0% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 2.3% 2.0 0.0
Purdue 2.1% 1.0 0.0
Washington St. 0.7% 1.0 0.0
UC Santa Barbara 0.5% 1.0 0.0
North Texas 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Yale 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Kentucky 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Duke 0.0% 3.0 0.0
San Francisco 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 5.6
Minimum 1.0
Maximum 15.0